Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 09/07, 10:00

Prediction: Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Axel Garcian

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand; the market gives 65% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand (odds 1.44).

Over their last 10 matches, Yanis Ghazouani Durand sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Axel Garcian arrives on a 4-6 run.

58%1
58% 42%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1503 · Axel Garcian 1497
Yanis Ghazouani DurandAxel Garcian
Our model51%49%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Yanis Ghazouani Durand 0–1 Axel Garcian (1).

Statistics

Yanis Ghazouani DurandAxel Garcian
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11-1.2
Games (G-P)11.6-9.39.5-10.2
Aces32.3
Double faults3.93.3
1st serve %67.4%65.9%
Break %58.9%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

H2H · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 01 Axel Garcian (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 01 Axel Garcian

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DateSetsGamesRes.
15/10/24
ITF M15 Villers Les Nancy
0-24-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Tanguy Genier
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-1 19-16 W
29/06 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
28/06 Isaac Becroft
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
12/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
10/06 Naoki Tajima
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
24/05 Jelle Sels
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
20/05 Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
1-2 18-16 L
17/04 Izan Almazan Valiente
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
16/04 Enzo Wallart
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
15/04 Boris Butulija
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
2-0 8-0 W

Axel Garcian

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Valentin Lapalu
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-1 15-9 W
25/09 Tom Zeuch
ITF M15 Forbach · Carpet
0-2 7-12 L
17/09 Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF M25 Nevers · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
11/09 Pierre Delage
ITF M25 Plaisir · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
10/09 Lorenzo Rottoli
ITF M25 Plaisir · Hard
2-1 12-12 W
06/09 Alexis Gautier
ITF M25 Bagneres-De-Bigorre · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/09 Pierre Delage
ITF M25 Bagneres-De-Bigorre · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/09 Philippe Renard
ITF M25 Bagneres-De-Bigorre · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
02/09 Ying Hou
ITF M25 Bagneres-De-Bigorre · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Felix Balshaw
ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 8-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Axel Garcian?

Our model gives 58% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.