Tennis · W50 Columbus · 08/07, 19:00
Prediction: Christasha McNeil vs Rachel Gailis
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Christasha McNeil; the market gives 65% to Rachel Gailis (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Christasha McNeil with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Rachel Gailis has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christasha McNeil 1504 · Rachel Gailis 1501
| Christasha McNeil | Rachel Gailis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Christasha McNeil | Rachel Gailis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.1 | 10-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 33.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christasha McNeil
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lexington Reed W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Bella Payne W35 Rome |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/03 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 12/11 | Wakana Sonobe ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 11/11 | Salma Drugdova ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Charlotte Roesch ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/11 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Emily Appleton WTA Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Rachel Gailis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Kaia Giribalan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/01 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Weston · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/01 | Tatiana Pieri W35 Bradenton |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/01 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Bradenton |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/01 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Bradenton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/11 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christasha McNeil vs Rachel Gailis?
Our model gives 58% to Rachel Gailis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.