Tennis · W50 Columbus · 08/07, 19:00
Prediction: Julieta Pareja vs Mia Slama
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Julieta Pareja; the market gives 79% to Julieta Pareja (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Julieta Pareja sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Mia Slama arrives on a 6-4 run.
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julieta Pareja 1536 · Mia Slama 1502
| Julieta Pareja | Mia Slama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Julieta Pareja makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Julieta Pareja | Mia Slama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.5 | 10.7-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 66.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julieta Pareja
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04 | Panna Udvardy WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Panna Udvardy WTA Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 30/03 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/03 | Kayla Cross W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/03 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/03 | Despina Papamichail W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/03 | Ana Grubor W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/03 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/03 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/02 | Lea Ma W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Mia Slama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Caroline Driscoll W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 02/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Juliette Trunet W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Salma Djoubri W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/01 | Ema Burgic UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julieta Pareja vs Mia Slama?
Our model gives 68% to Julieta Pareja, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.