Tennis · W50 Columbus · 08/07, 16:00
Prediction: Kira Matushkina vs Rebecca Marino
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Kira Matushkina; the market gives 79% to Rebecca Marino (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Kira Matushkina with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Rebecca Marino has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kira Matushkina 1522 · Rebecca Marino 1495
| Kira Matushkina | Rebecca Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rebecca Marino dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 53.7% break avg.
- Note: Rebecca Marino makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kira Matushkina | Rebecca Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.5 | 10.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 9.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kira Matushkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Amiya Bowles W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/05 | Lea Ma W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Amaliia Elizarova W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/05 | Eryn Cayetano W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Daniella Sales W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/12 | Ruien Zhang ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 04/12 | Maya Iyengar ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/12 | Zoe Hitt ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/12 | Mirabelle Tahiri ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Rebecca Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Tatjana Maria WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Guadalajara 125K · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Dominika Salkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Mai Hontama US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Emma Navarro WTA Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kira Matushkina vs Rebecca Marino?
Our model gives 64% to Rebecca Marino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.