Tennis · W50 Columbus · 08/07, 17:30
Prediction: Jaedan Brown vs Sara Daavettila
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Jaedan Brown; the market gives 59% to Sara Daavettila (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Jaedan Brown sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Sara Daavettila arrives on a 5-5 run.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaedan Brown 1525 · Sara Daavettila 1473
| Jaedan Brown | Sara Daavettila | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaedan Brown (rating 1525 vs 1473).
- Note: Jaedan Brown makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Sara Daavettila makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Jaedan Brown | Sara Daavettila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.4 | 9.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 55% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaedan Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Misa Malkin W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Addison Yang Comiskey W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Kailey Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Ta'leighah Saulter W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/05 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Klara Kosan W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Katrina Scott W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Noelia Zeballos W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sara Daavettila
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Violeta Martinez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Paola Lopez W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Kailey Evans W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/04 | Aleksandra Mateva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 03/04 | Angelica Raggi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Victoria Pohle W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/03 | Lorena Solar Donoso W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaedan Brown vs Sara Daavettila?
Our model gives 52% to Sara Daavettila, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.