Tennis · W50 Columbus · 08/07, 16:00
Prediction: Capucine Jauffret vs Sakura Hosogi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Capucine Jauffret; the market gives 63% to Sakura Hosogi (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Capucine Jauffret is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sakura Hosogi 6-4 over theirs.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Capucine Jauffret 1529 · Sakura Hosogi 1524
| Capucine Jauffret | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Capucine Jauffret makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Capucine Jauffret | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.9 | 10.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 59% |
| Break % | 56% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Capucine Jauffret
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Kira Matushkina W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Anna Frey W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Sophie Llewellyn W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Klara Kosan W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Claire Hill W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/05 | Sydney-Nicole Clarke W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Sakura Hosogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Fang An Lin W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Naho Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Kurumi Tamura W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Andong · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Capucine Jauffret vs Sakura Hosogi?
Our model gives 57% to Sakura Hosogi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.