Tennis · W50 Columbus · 08/07, 17:30
Prediction: Yexin Ma vs Francoise Abanda
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Francoise Abanda; the market gives 66% to Yexin Ma (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Yexin Ma is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Francoise Abanda 5-5 over theirs.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yexin Ma 1488 · Francoise Abanda 1534
| Yexin Ma | Francoise Abanda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francoise Abanda (rating 1488 vs 1534).
- Francoise Abanda is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Yexin Ma makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Yexin Ma | Francoise Abanda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.8 | 10.3-8 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yexin Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Mia Slama W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Momoko Kobori W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Erika Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Xinxin Yao W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Lulu Sun French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Francoise Abanda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Mia Slama W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Madison Brengle W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Hana Evans W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/03 | Alicia Herrero Linana W35 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 15/03 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/03 | Margaux Maquet W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/03 | Enola Chiesa W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/03 | Oceane Babel W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/03 | Eva Vedder W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/03 | Julie Myatovic W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
1-1 | 9-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yexin Ma vs Francoise Abanda?
Our model gives 56% to Yexin Ma, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.