Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henry Bernet
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Henry Bernet; the market gives 61% to Henry Bernet (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Federico Agustin Gomez is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Henry Bernet 6-4 over theirs.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Agustin Gomez 1460 · Henry Bernet 1564
| Federico Agustin Gomez | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Bernet (rating 1460 vs 1564).
- Henry Bernet is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Federico Agustin Gomez | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.4 | 11.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Agustin Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Dalibor Svrcina French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Frederico Ferreira Silva French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Skander Mansouri Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/04 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Houston · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Leonardo Iemmi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Flynn Thomas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 62% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.