Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs Dan Added
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Manel Lazaro Juncadella; the market gives 81% to Dan Added (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Manel Lazaro Juncadella sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Dan Added arrives on a 7-3 run.
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manel Lazaro Juncadella 1561 · Dan Added 1556
| Manel Lazaro Juncadella | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Manel Lazaro Juncadella makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Manel Lazaro Juncadella | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.1 | 11.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Nikola Djukic Valera M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Julien Penzlin M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Niels Lootsma M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 11/06 | John Echeverria M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Marcos Castro Fabra M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Noah Regas M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Dan Added
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Hugo Car M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs Dan Added?
Our model gives 67% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.