Prediction: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Alex Barrena
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo; the market gives 59% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alex Barrena 3-7 over theirs.
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (rating 1531 vs 1450).
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1–2 Alex Barrena (3).
Statistics
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.4 | 10.3-13 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 31.7% |
H2H · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1 – 2 Alex Barrena (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1–2 Alex Barrena
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/25 Challenger Porto Alegre | 2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/02/25 Challenger Rosario | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/01/25 Challenger Punta del Este | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Alex Barrena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Alexis Galarneau French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Mika Brunold Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 60% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.