Tennis · M15 Lodz · 08/07, 13:00

Prediction: Petr Michnev vs Samuele Seghetti

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 73% to Petr Michnev; the market gives 71% to Petr Michnev (odds 1.33).

On recent form, Petr Michnev is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Samuele Seghetti 2-8 over theirs.

72%1
72% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petr Michnev 1559 · Samuele Seghetti 1386
Petr MichnevSamuele Seghetti
Our model73%27%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Michnev (rating 1559 vs 1386).
  • Petr Michnev dominates on serve: 7 aces and 45.5% break avg.
  • Petr Michnev is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Petr MichnevSamuele Seghetti
Win %70%10%
Win % · Clay 75% (8) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.70.5-1.6
Games (G-P)12.7-8.69.4-12.7
Aces71.8
Double faults12.6
1st serve %73.5%58.9%
Break %45.5%34.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petr Michnev

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Beren Tan
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-2 W
24/02 Liam Hignett
M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard
1-2 10-10 L
07/02 Norbert Marosik
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
04/02 Mikalai Haliak
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
03/02 David Redondo Pereira
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
02/02 James McGloughlin
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/01 Karol Filar
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
09/01 Niels Lootsma
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
07/01 Heorhii Shylov
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
06/01 Jan Klimas
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Samuele Seghetti

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
15/06 Luca Parenti
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
01/05 Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-1 6-9 L
29/04 Aziz Ouakaa
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-1 16-18 L
18/03 Vito Dell'Elba
M15 Foggia · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
17/12 Nicolas Tepmahc
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
02/10 Pieter De Lange
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/10 Vito Dell'Elba
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
24/09 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/09 Luca Wiedenmann
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petr Michnev vs Samuele Seghetti?

Our model gives 72% to Petr Michnev, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.