Prediction: Aleksandr Braynin vs Jan Wygona
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Aleksandr Braynin; the market gives 81% to Aleksandr Braynin (odds 1.14).
On recent form, Aleksandr Braynin is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Jan Wygona 3-7 over theirs.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandr Braynin 1521 · Jan Wygona 1444
| Aleksandr Braynin | Jan Wygona | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandr Braynin (rating 1521 vs 1444).
- Aleksandr Braynin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aleksandr Braynin | Jan Wygona | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.4 | 7.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandr Braynin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Store |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Store |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Szymon Karpinski M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Peter Fajta M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Adam Jilly M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Jan Wygona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lukas Maskow M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Jim Hendrikx M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Szymon Karpinski M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 02/06 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Samvel Aghayan M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/03 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Martyn Pawelski M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 18/03 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Karim El Feky M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandr Braynin vs Jan Wygona?
Our model gives 72% to Aleksandr Braynin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.