Tennis · W35 Buzau · 08/07, 09:30

Prediction: Ekaterina Kazionova vs Federica Sacco

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Ekaterina Kazionova; the market gives 65% to Ekaterina Kazionova (odds 1.44).

On recent form, Ekaterina Kazionova is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Federica Sacco 6-4 over theirs.

58%1
58% 42%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekaterina Kazionova 1516 · Federica Sacco 1509
Ekaterina KazionovaFederica Sacco
Our model51%49%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ekaterina Kazionova makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Ekaterina KazionovaFederica Sacco
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.3-0.8
Games (G-P)11.2-1010.8-8.4
Aces0.61.6
Double faults5.61.6
1st serve %59.5%64.7%
Break %60.6%60.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekaterina Kazionova

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Ilinca D Amariei
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Lucie Nguyen Tan
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Liv Boulard
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Victoria Pohle
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
23/06 Anna Burchak
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/06 Deborah Chiesa
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 10-15 L
14/06 Julie Struplova
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/06 Mia Ristic
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
10/06 Lina Gjorcheska
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 14-15 W

Federica Sacco

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Buzau
2-0 13-10 W
06/07 Annemarie Lazar
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-5 W
19/06 Martina Colmegna
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
18/06 Maria Mikhailova
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Valentini Grammatikopoulou
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/06 Luna Vujovic
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/06 Oceane Babel
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Marta Lombardini
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/05 Marie Weckerle
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
26/05 Tamila Gadamauri
W35 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Kazionova vs Federica Sacco?

Our model gives 58% to Ekaterina Kazionova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.