Tennis · W35 Buzau · 10/07, 10:30
Prediction: Francesca Gandolfi vs Julie Struplova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Francesca Gandolfi; the market gives 75% to Julie Struplova (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Francesca Gandolfi sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Julie Struplova arrives on a 4-6 run.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Gandolfi 1526 · Julie Struplova 1503
| Francesca Gandolfi | Julie Struplova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Gandolfi makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Gandolfi | Julie Struplova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.4 | 11.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 64.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Gandolfi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Sandra Samir W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 01/06 | Isabella Maria Serban W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 31/05 | Ylenia Zocco W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Federica Trevisan W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Julie Struplova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Luna Maria Cinalli W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Martha Matoula W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Petra Sedlackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Teodora Kostovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Darya Astakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Gandolfi vs Julie Struplova?
Our model gives 62% to Julie Struplova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.