Tennis · W35 Buzau · 11/07, 10:00
Prediction: Rositsa Dencheva vs Julie Struplova
Prediction summary
Winner
Rositsa Dencheva
Julie Struplova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rositsa Dencheva
7-3 (W-L)
Julie Struplova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rositsa Dencheva 1564 · Julie Struplova 1504
| Rositsa Dencheva | Julie Struplova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rositsa Dencheva (rating 1564 vs 1504).
Statistics
| Rositsa Dencheva | Julie Struplova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.2 | 11.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 69.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rositsa Dencheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Maria Golovina W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Sofya Lansere W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Anja Stankovic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Briana Szabo W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Lina Glushko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Julie Struplova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Luna Maria Cinalli W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Martha Matoula W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Petra Sedlackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Teodora Kostovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rositsa Dencheva vs Julie Struplova?
Our model gives 55% to Rositsa Dencheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.