Prediction: Carolina Kuhl vs Francesca Gandolfi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Francesca Gandolfi; the market gives 63% to Francesca Gandolfi (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Carolina Kuhl with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Francesca Gandolfi has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carolina Kuhl 1458 · Francesca Gandolfi 1527
| Carolina Kuhl | Francesca Gandolfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Gandolfi (rating 1458 vs 1527).
- Francesca Gandolfi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Carolina Kuhl makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Francesca Gandolfi makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Carolina Kuhl | Francesca Gandolfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.5 | 12.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carolina Kuhl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Iva Ivanova W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Cindy Langlais W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 27/05 | Elena Molla Pons W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/04 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/01 | Jo Yee Chan W100 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/01 | Ella Haavisto W15 Oslo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Polina Kuharenko W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Francesca Gandolfi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Sandra Samir W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 01/06 | Isabella Maria Serban W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 31/05 | Ylenia Zocco W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Federica Trevisan W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Margaux Maquet W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carolina Kuhl vs Francesca Gandolfi?
Our model gives 61% to Francesca Gandolfi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.