Tennis · W35 Buzau · 10/07, 09:00
Prediction: Rositsa Dencheva vs Maria Golovina
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Rositsa Dencheva; the market gives 75% to Rositsa Dencheva (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Rositsa Dencheva sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Maria Golovina arrives on a 5-5 run.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rositsa Dencheva 1522 · Maria Golovina 1492
| Rositsa Dencheva | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rositsa Dencheva | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.7 | 9.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rositsa Dencheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Sofya Lansere W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Anja Stankovic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Briana Szabo W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Lina Glushko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/04 | Alexandra Shubladze W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Maria Golovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Sara Victoria Balan W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Yujia Huang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 28/05 | JiaYi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Xinxin Yao W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Meiling Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rositsa Dencheva vs Maria Golovina?
Our model gives 66% to Rositsa Dencheva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.