Tennis · W35 Buzau · 09/07, 09:00
Prediction: Rositsa Dencheva vs Ekaterina Kazionova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Rositsa Dencheva; the market gives 69% to Rositsa Dencheva (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Rositsa Dencheva with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Ekaterina Kazionova has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rositsa Dencheva 1531 · Ekaterina Kazionova 1514
| Rositsa Dencheva | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Kazionova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Rositsa Dencheva | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.9 | 11.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 58.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rositsa Dencheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Sofya Lansere W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Anja Stankovic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Briana Szabo W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Lina Glushko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/04 | Alexandra Shubladze W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Ekaterina Kazionova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Federica Sacco W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Ilinca D Amariei W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Liv Boulard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Burchak W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Julie Struplova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rositsa Dencheva vs Ekaterina Kazionova?
Our model gives 61% to Rositsa Dencheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.