Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 08/07, 11:00
Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Dalibor Svrcina
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Dalibor Svrcina; the market gives 63% to Dalibor Svrcina (odds 1.50).
Over their last 10 matches, Diego Dedura-Palomero sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Dalibor Svrcina arrives on a 7-3 run.
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1514 · Dalibor Svrcina 1525
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.9 | 12.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Clement Tabur Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | James Duckworth ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Dalibor Svrcina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Learner Tien Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 19/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/05 | Thomas Faurel French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Federico Agustin Gomez French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Our model gives 58% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.