Prediction: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Max Hans Rehberg; the market gives 59% to Jan Choinski (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Jan Choinski is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Max Hans Rehberg 9-1 over theirs.
| Jan Choinski | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan Choinski dominates on serve: 9.2 aces and 50.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jan Choinski 1–0 Max Hans Rehberg (1).
Statistics
| Jan Choinski | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-13.3 | 12.1-7.8 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 56% |
H2H · Jan Choinski 1 – 0 Max Hans Rehberg (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan Choinski 1–0 Max Hans Rehberg
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/24 Challenger Tulln | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Choinski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Vit Kopriva Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Felix Gill ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 20/06 | Yibing Wu ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Max Hans Rehberg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Moise Kouame Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/06 | Olle Wallin M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Samuele Pieri M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Louis Mouffe M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg?
Our model gives 52% to Jan Choinski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.