Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Robin Bertrand vs Takuya Kumasaka
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Robin Bertrand; the market gives 69% to Robin Bertrand (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Robin Bertrand with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Takuya Kumasaka has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Bertrand 1513 · Takuya Kumasaka 1492
| Robin Bertrand | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Robin Bertrand dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45% break avg.
Statistics
| Robin Bertrand | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.8 | 13.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 45% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Bertrand
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Alexander Bravo M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Matt Ponchet M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Daniil Glinka French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Takuya Kumasaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Alvaro Jimenez M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 14/05 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/05 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/05 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Bertrand vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Our model gives 62% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.