Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Hamish Stewart vs Iliyan Radulov
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Hamish Stewart; the market gives 59% to Hamish Stewart (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Hamish Stewart sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Iliyan Radulov arrives on a 4-6 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hamish Stewart 1501 · Iliyan Radulov 1493
| Hamish Stewart | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hamish Stewart dominates on serve: 8.7 aces and 48.6% break avg.
- Note: Iliyan Radulov makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Hamish Stewart | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 44% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.7 | 10.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamish Stewart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Emilio Nava ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Leandro Riedi Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 01/06 | Elias Ymer Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Iliyan Radulov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Mariano Kestelboim Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Robert Watzka M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Vic |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Vic |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamish Stewart vs Iliyan Radulov?
Our model gives 55% to Hamish Stewart, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.