Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Tanguy Genier

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Tanguy Genier; the market gives 63% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand (odds 1.50).

Over their last 10 matches, Yanis Ghazouani Durand sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Tanguy Genier arrives on a 3-7 run.

53%1
53% 47%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1488 · Tanguy Genier 1543
Yanis Ghazouani DurandTanguy Genier
Our model42%58%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tanguy Genier (rating 1488 vs 1543).
  • Head-to-head: Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1–0 Tanguy Genier (1).

Statistics

Yanis Ghazouani DurandTanguy Genier
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.6-1.1
Games (G-P)10.9-8.412.6-10.8
Aces2.65.9
Double faults3.43.1
1st serve %68.9%76.2%
Break %58.6%39.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

H2H · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 10 Tanguy Genier (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 10 Tanguy Genier

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/04/24
ITF M15 Azay-le-Rideau
2-118-11W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
28/06 Isaac Becroft
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
12/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
10/06 Naoki Tajima
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
24/05 Jelle Sels
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
20/05 Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
1-2 18-16 L
17/04 Izan Almazan Valiente
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
16/04 Enzo Wallart
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
15/04 Boris Butulija
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
2-0 8-0 W
14/04 Esteban Talavera Cortes
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Tanguy Genier

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Elie Elie Azoulay
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-0 W
02/07 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Arthur Bonnaud
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Timothe Barthes
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 11-9 W
20/06 Sandro Kopp
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 12-18 L
19/06 Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
18/06 Pedro Sakamoto
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
17/06 Nicolas Kobelt
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
15/06 Ilias Zimmermann
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 9-7 W
24/05 Matisse Martin
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Tanguy Genier?

Our model gives 53% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.