Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mikail Alimli vs Damien Salvestre
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Mikail Alimli; the market gives 69% to Damien Salvestre (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Mikail Alimli with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Damien Salvestre has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikail Alimli 1538 · Damien Salvestre 1494
| Mikail Alimli | Damien Salvestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikail Alimli (rating 1538 vs 1494).
Statistics
| Mikail Alimli | Damien Salvestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.1 | 11.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.5% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikail Alimli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Kirill Mishkin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Riccardo Ciulli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/05 | Lucas Bouquet UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/05 | Marwan Haida-Lamrani UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Botond Nagy UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Tomas Rengel Sierra UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Filip Malis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/03 | Remy Dugardin M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
Damien Salvestre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Timeo Bretin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/03 | Silvio Mencaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 28/01 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/01 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Tiago Pires UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Justin Engel Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Maxime Chazal ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Amaury Raynel ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikail Alimli vs Damien Salvestre?
Our model gives 57% to Damien Salvestre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.