Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Henri Squire; the market gives 61% to Francesco Passaro (odds 1.53).

Over their last 10 matches, Henri Squire sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Francesco Passaro arrives on a 7-3 run.

53%2
47% 53%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Henri Squire 1528 · Francesco Passaro 1477
Henri SquireFrancesco Passaro
Our model57%43%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henri Squire (rating 1528 vs 1477).
  • Head-to-head: Henri Squire 2–0 Francesco Passaro (2).
  • Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Henri SquireFrancesco Passaro
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.1-1.2
Games (G-P)10-11.111.3-12.4
Aces4.12.4
Double faults62.9
1st serve %66.8%64.8%
Break %34.8%34.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

H2H · Henri Squire 20 Francesco Passaro (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Henri Squire 20 Francesco Passaro

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DateSetsGamesRes.
10/09/25
Challenger Szczecin
2-116-15W
17/09/24
Challenger Bad Waltersdorf
2-013-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Henri Squire

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Alvaro Guillen Meza
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
01/07 Keegan Smith
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
22/06 Michael Zheng
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
16/06 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/06 Emilio Nava
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/06 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
03/06 Pedro Martinez
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
02/06 Marc Polmans
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 13-5 W
27/05 Stefano Travaglia
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Francesco Passaro

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
24/06 Niels McDonald
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
23/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
16/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/02 Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
17/02 Dino Prizmic
ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
15/02 Vilius Gaubas
ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
14/02 Elmer Moller
ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/02 Ignacio Buse
ATP Buenos Aires · Clay
1-2 16-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro?

Our model gives 53% to Francesco Passaro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.