Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lukas Neumayer vs Guido Ivan Justo
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Lukas Neumayer; the market gives 71% to Lukas Neumayer (odds 1.33).
On recent form, Lukas Neumayer is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Guido Ivan Justo 8-2 over theirs.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Neumayer 1560 · Guido Ivan Justo 1563
| Lukas Neumayer | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lukas Neumayer | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.9 | 11.6-7.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Neumayer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Michal Krajci Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Remy Bertola Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Li Tu Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Guido Ivan Justo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Neumayer vs Guido Ivan Justo?
Our model gives 61% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.