Prediction: Sara Victoria Balan vs Maria Golovina
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Sara Victoria Balan; the market gives 59% to Maria Golovina (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Sara Victoria Balan sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Maria Golovina arrives on a 4-6 run.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Victoria Balan 1550 · Maria Golovina 1508
| Sara Victoria Balan | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sara Victoria Balan (rating 1550 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Sara Victoria Balan | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 10-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Victoria Balan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 27/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Galati · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Alesia Breaz W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Lavinia Tanasie W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Lavinia Tanasie W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Alessia Marinescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Alexia Patru W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/06 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Maria Golovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Yujia Huang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 28/05 | JiaYi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Xinxin Yao W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Meiling Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Vitalia Diatchenko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Ulyana Hrabavets W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Victoria Balan vs Maria Golovina?
Our model gives 52% to Maria Golovina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.