Tennis · M25 The Hague · 08/07, 17:00
Prediction: Jakub Nicod vs Timeo Trufelli
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Jakub Nicod; the market gives 88% to Jakub Nicod (odds 1.07).
On recent form, Jakub Nicod is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Timeo Trufelli 6-4 over theirs.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Nicod 1539 · Timeo Trufelli 1491
| Jakub Nicod | Timeo Trufelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jakub Nicod (rating 1539 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Jakub Nicod | Timeo Trufelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.1 | 10.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Nicod
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 04/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Steffan Van Weldam M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Jakub Filip M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/05 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Jeremy Schifris M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/05 | Marvin Moeller M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Timeo Trufelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Justas Trainauskas M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Justin Lenders M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Leyton Rivera M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Daniel Antonio Nunez M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Benjamin Martin M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Paul Theate M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Ole Bredschneijder M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Nicod vs Timeo Trufelli?
Our model gives 74% to Jakub Nicod, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.