Tennis · M25 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Verbeek vs Jim Hendrikx
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Daniel Verbeek; the market gives 79% to Daniel Verbeek (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Daniel Verbeek with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Jim Hendrikx has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Verbeek 1523 · Jim Hendrikx 1420
| Daniel Verbeek | Jim Hendrikx | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Verbeek (rating 1523 vs 1420).
- Daniel Verbeek is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Verbeek | Jim Hendrikx | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7.7 | 6.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Verbeek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Louis Tessa M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Markel Garay Eceolaza M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Alex Martinez Sanz M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Ramon Del Olmo Diaz M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Hugo Maurice M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/05 | Louis Boilevin M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/04 | Pieter De Lange M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Duje Markovina M15 Dubrovnik · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
Jim Hendrikx
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Raghav Jaisinghani M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Karl Friberg M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Niklas Guttau M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Jan Wygona M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Patrik Homola M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Jacopo Antonelli M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/06 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Lucas Bouquet UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Verbeek vs Jim Hendrikx?
Our model gives 73% to Daniel Verbeek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.