Tennis · M25 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Stijn Paardekooper vs Mateja Stanisavljevic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Stijn Paardekooper; the market gives 79% to Stijn Paardekooper (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Stijn Paardekooper sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Mateja Stanisavljevic arrives on a 5-5 run.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stijn Paardekooper 1558 · Mateja Stanisavljevic 1450
| Stijn Paardekooper | Mateja Stanisavljevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stijn Paardekooper (rating 1558 vs 1450).
- Stijn Paardekooper is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stijn Paardekooper | Mateja Stanisavljevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.3 | 8.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stijn Paardekooper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Jesse De Jager M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Mac Visser M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/05 | Jiri Vesely UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Marcel Zielinski UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Tim Hammes UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Moos Van Donk UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Bas Bouwman UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Edward Etty UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mateja Stanisavljevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Sammy Guinau M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Pranav Karthik M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Milan Ristov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 13/05 | Rocco Valente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Sam Bird M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/05 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 05/05 | Valentin De Carvalho M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/03 | Alberto Morolli M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Christopher Papa M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stijn Paardekooper vs Mateja Stanisavljevic?
Our model gives 73% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.