Prediction: Leyton Rivera vs Tomasz Berkieta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Tomasz Berkieta; the market gives 84% to Tomasz Berkieta (odds 1.11).
Over their last 10 matches, Leyton Rivera sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Tomasz Berkieta arrives on a 3-7 run.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leyton Rivera 1504 · Tomasz Berkieta 1510
| Leyton Rivera | Tomasz Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Leyton Rivera | Tomasz Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.8 | 10-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 66% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 22.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyton Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Store |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Markus Molder M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Sasha Colleu M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Filip Djokic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
Tomasz Berkieta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Aleksandar Tolev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Edison Ambarzumjan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Andrej Martin Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/05 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyton Rivera vs Tomasz Berkieta?
Our model gives 69% to Tomasz Berkieta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.