Prediction: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Jeremy Gschwendtner
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Jeremy Gschwendtner; the market gives 78% to Jeremy Gschwendtner (odds 1.20).
On recent form, Oliwier Sterniczuk is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Jeremy Gschwendtner 6-4 over theirs.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliwier Sterniczuk 1477 · Jeremy Gschwendtner 1507
| Oliwier Sterniczuk | Jeremy Gschwendtner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oliwier Sterniczuk | Jeremy Gschwendtner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-10.7 | 11.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 40% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliwier Sterniczuk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Alan Wazny M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Michal Novansky M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Kevin Pabisiak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 29/04 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Michalis Sakellaridis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/11 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Montemar · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Ilias Zimmermann ITF M25 Pardubice · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Niklas Guttau ITF M25 Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Jeremy Gschwendtner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jeremy Schifris M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Sebastian Gima M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-1 | 7-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Christian Sigsgaard M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 20/05 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Jeremy Gschwendtner?
Our model gives 68% to Jeremy Gschwendtner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.