Tennis · M15 Lodz · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Edoardo Cherie Ligniere vs Marcel Kamrowski

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Edoardo Cherie Ligniere; the market gives 69% to Edoardo Cherie Ligniere (odds 1.36).

Recent form leaves Edoardo Cherie Ligniere with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Marcel Kamrowski has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Edoardo Cherie Ligniere 1494 · Marcel Kamrowski 1491
Edoardo Cherie LigniereMarcel Kamrowski
Our model50%50%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Edoardo Cherie LigniereMarcel Kamrowski
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.2-1
Games (G-P)8.9-910.4-9.7
Aces0.53
Double faults2.71.9
1st serve %57.2%70.7%
Break %43.9%57.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Edoardo Cherie Ligniere

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Lorenzo Angelini
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Glib Sekachov
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
25/06 Lucio Ratti
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/06 Piet Luis Pinter
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
18/06 Sebastian Gima
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/06 Kai Thompson
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Edoardo De Filippo
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
09/06 Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 0-8 L
21/05 Andrea Fiorentini
M15 Litija · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
20/05 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Litija · ~Clay
2-1 18-11 W

Marcel Kamrowski

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/06 Yannik Kelm
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/04 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/03 Massimo Giunta
M15 Altamura · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
24/03 Gabriel Sardo
M15 Altamura · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
23/03 Dakotah Bobo
M15 Altamura · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/03 Seydina Andre
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
17/03 Achyuth Binu
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/03 Alessandro Pecci
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
11/03 Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
10/03 Hudson Baxter
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 8-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Edoardo Cherie Ligniere vs Marcel Kamrowski?

Our model gives 61% to Edoardo Cherie Ligniere, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.