Prediction: Niels Peter Van Noord vs Mikael Arseneault
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Mikael Arseneault; the market gives 78% to Mikael Arseneault (odds 1.20).
Recent form leaves Niels Peter Van Noord with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Mikael Arseneault has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
| Niels Peter Van Noord | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Niels Peter Van Noord 1–0 Mikael Arseneault (1).
Statistics
| Niels Peter Van Noord | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.6 | 11.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 37.7% |
H2H · Niels Peter Van Noord 1 – 0 Mikael Arseneault (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Niels Peter Van Noord 1–0 Mikael Arseneault
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/25 M15 Huamantla | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels Peter Van Noord
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Jared Horwood M25 Laval |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Jakob Gaudreau Barnes M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/05 | Omar Rhazali UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Carlos Guerrero Alvarez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Rahul Sachdev UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/05 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/03 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Sherbrooke |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/02 | Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De Rozas M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/01 | Gage Brymer M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Mikael Arseneault
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Kobelt M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Noah Zamora M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/11 | Liam Draxl Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/11 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/11 | Ben Jones Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/11 | Alan Magadan ITF M25 Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Nicolas Arseneault ITF M25 Montreal · Hard |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels Peter Van Noord vs Mikael Arseneault?
Our model gives 66% to Mikael Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.