Tennis · W50 Columbus · 08/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ayana Akli vs Malaika Rapolu
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Malaika Rapolu; the market gives 58% to Ayana Akli (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Ayana Akli is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Malaika Rapolu 7-3 over theirs.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayana Akli 1524 · Malaika Rapolu 1541
| Ayana Akli | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ayana Akli | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.3 | 9.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayana Akli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Tatum Evans W35 Rome |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Nadia Podoroska W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Katarzyna Kawa French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Jazmin Ortenzi W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Mary Lewis W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jasmine Conway W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Rome |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Madison Brengle W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Violeta Martinez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Kylie Collins W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Cadence Brace W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria Sholokhova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayana Akli vs Malaika Rapolu?
Our model gives 53% to Ayana Akli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.