Tennis · M15 Lodz · 07/07, 14:00
Prediction: Jakub Filip vs Gilberto Ravasio
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 71% to Jakub Filip; the market gives 73% to Jakub Filip (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Jakub Filip sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Gilberto Ravasio arrives on a 1-9 run.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Filip 1538 · Gilberto Ravasio 1386
| Jakub Filip | Gilberto Ravasio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jakub Filip (rating 1538 vs 1386).
- Jakub Filip is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Gilberto Ravasio makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Jakub Filip | Gilberto Ravasio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.4 | 6.4-12 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 51.6% |
| Break % | 39% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Filip
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Benito Sanchez Martinez M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Arian Barbic M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Jakub Nicod M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Filip Cristian Jianu M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Matyas Kozlovsky M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Matyas Kozlovsky M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/03 | Robin Bertrand M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Gilberto Ravasio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Daniel Domingos M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/04 | Liam Branger M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Leo Deflandre M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 07/04 | Leo Lagarrigue M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/02 | Yanki Erel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Filip vs Gilberto Ravasio?
Our model gives 72% to Jakub Filip, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.