Tennis · W50 Columbus · 07/07, 16:00
Prediction: Christasha McNeil vs Lexington Reed
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Christasha McNeil; the market gives 66% to Lexington Reed (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Christasha McNeil sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Lexington Reed arrives on a 4-6 run.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christasha McNeil 1486 · Lexington Reed 1461
| Christasha McNeil | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Christasha McNeil | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-9.9 | 9.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 43% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christasha McNeil
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Bella Payne W35 Rome |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/03 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 12/11 | Wakana Sonobe ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 11/11 | Salma Drugdova ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Charlotte Roesch ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/11 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Emily Appleton WTA Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Rasheeda McAdoo ITF W100 Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lexington Reed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Elizabeth Ionescu W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/12 | Abigail Rencheli ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Sophia Biolay ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Akasha Urhobo ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Anna Perelman UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/10 | Jimena Gomez UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Julia Ionescu UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Jaeda Daniel ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Vivian Wolff ITF W35 Bakersfield · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christasha McNeil vs Lexington Reed?
Our model gives 57% to Lexington Reed, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.