Tennis · W50 Columbus · 07/07, 16:00

Prediction: Francoise Abanda vs Mia Slama

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Francoise Abanda; the market gives 50% to Francoise Abanda (odds 1.83).

On recent form, Francoise Abanda is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Mia Slama 6-4 over theirs.

51%1
51% 49%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francoise Abanda 1539 · Mia Slama 1518
Francoise AbandaMia Slama
Our model53%47%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Francoise AbandaMia Slama
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.71.2-0.9
Games (G-P)9.9-7.110.9-8.3
Aces0.82.6
Double faults1.62.7
1st serve %59.9%62.4%
Break %45.5%65.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francoise Abanda

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/05 Madison Brengle
W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
12/05 Hana Evans
W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
18/03 Alicia Herrero Linana
W35 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
15/03 Maria Garcia Cid
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
14/03 Margaux Maquet
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/03 Enola Chiesa
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
12/03 Oceane Babel
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/03 Eva Vedder
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/03 Julie Myatovic
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
1-1 9-8 W
09/03 Juliette Trunet
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Mia Slama

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Caroline Driscoll
W50 Columbus
2-0 12-2 W
04/07 Yexin Ma
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
02/07 Cadence Brace
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Ana Sofia Sanchez
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
19/06 Marie Vogt
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 11-13 L
18/06 Chloe Noel
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Juliette Trunet
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
09/06 Salma Djoubri
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/01 Ema Burgic
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/01 Nicole Okhtenberg
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francoise Abanda vs Mia Slama?

Our model gives 51% to Francoise Abanda, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.