Tennis · W50 Columbus · 07/07, 16:00
Prediction: Capucine Jauffret vs Kira Matushkina
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Kira Matushkina; the market gives 50% to Kira Matushkina (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Capucine Jauffret with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Kira Matushkina has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Capucine Jauffret 1508 · Kira Matushkina 1526
| Capucine Jauffret | Kira Matushkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Capucine Jauffret makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Capucine Jauffret | Kira Matushkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9 | 11-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Capucine Jauffret
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Anna Frey W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Sophie Llewellyn W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Klara Kosan W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Claire Hill W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/05 | Sydney-Nicole Clarke W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/05 | Madison Brengle W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kira Matushkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Amiya Bowles W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/05 | Lea Ma W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Amaliia Elizarova W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/05 | Eryn Cayetano W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Daniella Sales W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/12 | Ruien Zhang ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 04/12 | Maya Iyengar ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/12 | Zoe Hitt ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/12 | Mirabelle Tahiri ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/11 | Elena-Teodora Cadar ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Capucine Jauffret vs Kira Matushkina?
Our model gives 51% to Kira Matushkina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.