Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Matej Dodig
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Michele Ribecai; the market gives 54% to Matej Dodig (odds 1.73).
Recent form leaves Michele Ribecai with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Matej Dodig has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1503 · Matej Dodig 1500
| Michele Ribecai | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.8 | 11.8-13.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 13.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 09/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Hugo Dellien French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yi Zhou French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/03 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Split · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 52% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.