Tennis · Challenger Liege · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tsung-Hao Huang vs Guy Den Ouden
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Tsung-Hao Huang; the market gives 92% to Guy Den Ouden (odds 1.02).
Recent form leaves Tsung-Hao Huang with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Guy Den Ouden has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tsung-Hao Huang 1494 · Guy Den Ouden 1489
| Tsung-Hao Huang | Guy Den Ouden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tsung-Hao Huang | Guy Den Ouden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.5 | 11.9-12 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 65% |
| Break % | 44% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tsung-Hao Huang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | James Van Herzeele M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Minghui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Guy Den Ouden
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Matej Dodig Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 01/06 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Dalibor Svrcina French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Dan Added Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tsung-Hao Huang vs Guy Den Ouden?
Our model gives 73% to Guy Den Ouden, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.