Tennis · Challenger Liege · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Florian Broska vs Kai Wehnelt
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Kai Wehnelt; the market gives 63% to Florian Broska (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Florian Broska is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kai Wehnelt 9-1 over theirs.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florian Broska 1555 · Kai Wehnelt 1576
| Florian Broska | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 51.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Florian Broska | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.5 | 12-10 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florian Broska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Kobelt M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Parth Aggarwal M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Ifi Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Samuele Pieri M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Gian Gruenig M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florian Broska vs Kai Wehnelt?
Our model gives 56% to Florian Broska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.