Tennis · Challenger Liege · 07/07, 10:00

Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Gerard Campana Lee

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Gerard Campana Lee; the market gives 75% to Gauthier Onclin (odds 1.25).

Recent form leaves Gauthier Onclin with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Gerard Campana Lee has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1511 · Gerard Campana Lee 1553
Gauthier OnclinGerard Campana Lee
Our model44%56%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1511 vs 1553).
  • Head-to-head: Gauthier Onclin 1–0 Gerard Campana Lee (1).
  • Note: Gauthier Onclin makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Gauthier OnclinGerard Campana Lee
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.4-1
Games (G-P)11.7-11.312-11.4
Aces13.4
Double faults4.32
1st serve %72.3%65.6%
Break %43.3%55.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

H2H · Gauthier Onclin 10 Gerard Campana Lee (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gauthier Onclin 10 Gerard Campana Lee

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DateSetsGamesRes.
08/08/23
Challenger Meerbusch
2-115-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gauthier Onclin

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon · Grass
1-2 11-16 L
22/06 Lorenzo Giustino
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
15/06 Kyrian Jacquet
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 12-14 L
10/06 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
08/06 Fabian Marozsan
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
07/06 Marc-Andrea Huesler
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
2-0 13-10 W
06/06 Orlando Luz
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
26/05 Pavel Kotov
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
03/05 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Abidjan · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Gerard Campana Lee

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Michiel de Krom
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
05/07 Fadi Bidan
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
21/06 Dimitar Kisimov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
18/06 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
16/06 Philip Henning
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
15/06 Adan Freire Da Silva
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/06 Paul Theate
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
07/06 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
29/05 Matyas Fuele
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Gerard Campana Lee?

Our model gives 61% to Gauthier Onclin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.