Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 07/07, 12:20
Prediction: Oleg Prihodko vs Alex Barrena
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Oleg Prihodko; the market gives 42% to Oleg Prihodko (odds 2.20).
On recent form, Oleg Prihodko is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alex Barrena 2-8 over theirs.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleg Prihodko 1557 · Alex Barrena 1443
| Oleg Prihodko | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleg Prihodko (rating 1557 vs 1443).
- Oleg Prihodko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oleg Prihodko | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.1 | 10.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleg Prihodko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Glib Sekachov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Vid Mohar M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Petar Jovanovic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Saba Purtseladze Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Jasin Jakupi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Alexis Galarneau French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Mika Brunold Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/03 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleg Prihodko vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 53% to Oleg Prihodko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.