Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 07/07, 13:30
Prediction: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Henry Bernet
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Henry Bernet; the market gives 59% to Henry Bernet (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Juan Cruz Martin Manzano sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Henry Bernet arrives on a 7-3 run.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1535 · Henry Bernet 1550
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.4 | 10.9-8.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Niccolo Catini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Adam Lynch M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Leonardo Iemmi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Flynn Thomas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Henrik Bladelius M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 56% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.