Prediction: Rudolf Molleker vs Facundo Diaz Acosta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Facundo Diaz Acosta; the market gives 77% to Facundo Diaz Acosta (odds 1.22).
Over their last 10 matches, Rudolf Molleker sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Facundo Diaz Acosta arrives on a 5-5 run.
| Rudolf Molleker | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1522 vs 1618).
Statistics
| Rudolf Molleker | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12 | 12.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 72% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 35.4% |
H2H · Rudolf Molleker 1 – 1 Facundo Diaz Acosta (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rudolf Molleker 1–1 Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/24 Challenger Canberra | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06/23 Challenger Heilbronn | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rudolf Molleker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Stefan Seifert Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Dominik Recek M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/05 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Henri Squire Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexis Galarneau Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rudolf Molleker vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?
Our model gives 71% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.