Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Johan Nikles
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Johan Nikles; the market gives 83% to Johan Nikles (odds 1.13).
Recent form leaves Pierre Antoine Tailleu with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Johan Nikles has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierre Antoine Tailleu 1501 · Johan Nikles 1521
| Pierre Antoine Tailleu | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pierre Antoine Tailleu makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Pierre Antoine Tailleu | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 10.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 51% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Seydina Andre M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Mariano David Cassan M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Antoine Walch M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 14/06 | Baptiste Droin M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Mikail Alimli UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/05 | Yassine Smiej UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Johan Nikles
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 26/06 | Karim Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Jules Fabre Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Julian Alonso M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Johan Nikles?
Our model gives 69% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.