Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Louis Larue
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Cosme Rolland De Ravel; the market gives 89% to Cosme Rolland De Ravel (odds 1.05).
On recent form, Cosme Rolland De Ravel is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Louis Larue 3-7 over theirs.
78%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cosme Rolland De Ravel 1554 · Louis Larue 1444
| Cosme Rolland De Ravel | Louis Larue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cosme Rolland De Ravel (rating 1554 vs 1444).
- Cosme Rolland De Ravel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Cosme Rolland De Ravel | Louis Larue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.9 | 10.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Jeffrey Hsu Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/01 | Lucas Poullain M25 Hazebrouck |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 08/01 | Jack Loge M25 Hazebrouck |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Louis Larue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Giammarco Gandolfi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Moritz Kudernatsch M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Otso Martikainen M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Arthur Weber M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Finn Murgett M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Leo Raquillet M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Louis Larue?
Our model gives 78% to Cosme Rolland De Ravel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.