Prediction: Laurent Lokoli vs Mathieu Scaglia
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Laurent Lokoli; the market gives 89% to Laurent Lokoli (odds 1.05).
Recent form leaves Laurent Lokoli with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Mathieu Scaglia has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Laurent Lokoli | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1567 vs 1466).
- Head-to-head: Laurent Lokoli 1–0 Mathieu Scaglia (1).
Statistics
| Laurent Lokoli | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.2 | 8.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 36.8% |
H2H · Laurent Lokoli 1 – 0 Mathieu Scaglia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laurent Lokoli 1–0 Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/15 ITF France F16 | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laurent Lokoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Louis Larue M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laurent Lokoli vs Mathieu Scaglia?
Our model gives 78% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.