Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Liam Branger vs Nicolas Jadoun
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Liam Branger; the market gives 50% to Liam Branger (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Liam Branger sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Nicolas Jadoun arrives on a 5-5 run.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Branger 1496 · Nicolas Jadoun 1487
| Liam Branger | Nicolas Jadoun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Liam Branger | Nicolas Jadoun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.9 | 9.1-10 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Branger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Timofey Stepanov M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/04 | Robin Bertrand M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/04 | Luca Potenza M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/04 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/04 | Justin Lenders M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/03 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Nicolas Jadoun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Paris Pouatcha M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Matthias Ujvary M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Rajat Shirur M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Stefano Papagno M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Branger vs Nicolas Jadoun?
Our model gives 51% to Liam Branger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.